Asset price dynamics and infrequent feedback trades

Article Abstract:

This article combines the continuous arrival of information with the infrequency of trades, and investigates the effects on asset price dynamics of positive and negative-feedback trading. Specifically, we model an economy where stocks and bonds are traded by two types of agents: speculators who maximize expected utility, and feedback traders who mechanically respond to price changes and infrequently submit market orders. We show that positive-feedback strategies increase the volatility of stock returns, and the response of stock prices to dividend news. Conversely, the presence of negative-feedback traders makes stock returns less volatile, and prices less responsive to dividends. (Reprinted by permission of the publisher.)

Author: Balduzzi, Pierluigi, Foresi, Silverio, Bertola, Giuseppe
Stocks, Speculation, Stock prices, Assets (Accounting)

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Risk premia and variance bounds

Article Abstract:

If a pricing kernel assigns a premium to a risk variable that differs from the one assigned by the minimum-variance admissible kernel, then the pricing kernel must exhibit more variability than the minimum-variance kernel. Based on this intuition, we derive a variance bound that is more stringent than that of Hansen and Jagannathan (1991). When we apply our bound to the kernel of a representative consumer with power utility, we find that the consumption risk premium increases the severity of the "equity-premium puzzle" of Mehra and Prescott (1985). (Reprinted by permission of the publisher.)

Author: Balduzzi, Pierluigi, Kallal, Hedi
Capital assets, Kernel functions, Degree of freedom

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Predictability and transaction costs: the impact on rebalancing rules and behavior

Article Abstract:

A link is established between realistic transaction costs and predictability concerning a multiperiod investor's rebalancing behavior. Effects of predictability include motivating investors to rebalance more frequently and to spend significantly more on rebalancing.

Author: Lynch, Anthony W., Balduzzi, Pierluigi
Financial Forecasting, Statistical Data Included, Research, Methods, Investments, Economic forecasting, Business forecasting, Prediction theory

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Subjects list: Analysis, Prices and rates, Pricing, Risk (Economics)
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