The equity share in new issues and aggregate stock returns

Article Abstract:

The author asserts that the amount of equity issues in aggregate new debt and equity issues is a strong predictor of American stock-exchange returns for the period between 1928 and 1997. Observations include that companies tend to issue less debt than equity just prior to periods marked by low market returns.

Author: Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
Securities and Commodity Exchanges, Security and commodity exchanges, Securities Exchanges, Statistical Data Included, Stock-exchange, Stock exchanges, Exchanges, Securities industry, Leverage (Finance), Leverage, Debt equity conversion

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Investor sentiment and the cross-section of stock returns

Article Abstract:

Impact of sentiments of investors on the cross-section of securities is discussed. Fluctuations in the sentiments are leading to fluctuations in the stock returns.

Author: Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
Psychological aspects, Securities, Investors

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Predicting returns with managerial decision variables: is there a small - sample bias?

Article Abstract:

Usage of managerial decision variables including aggregate equity issuance to anticipate the stock market returns is discussed. Pseudo market-timing bias, a small sample bias, is used to determine the findings.

Author: Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey, Taliaferro, Ryan
Methods, Usage, Test bias, Stock markets, Stock market, Equity (Finance)

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Subjects list: Analysis, Return on investment, Rate of return, United States, Forecasts and trends, Influence, Market trend/market analysis
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