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Introduction to nonlinearities, business cycles, and forecasting

Article Abstract:

The first International Institute of Forecasters workshop on "Nonlinearities, business cycles and forecasting" was convened in Madrid on 12 &13 December, 2003. The recent developments that rendered the business cycle complex have engendered a renewed interest in the examination of the cycle.

Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2005
Spain, Editorial, Conferences, meetings and seminars, International Institute of Forecasters

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Growth, cycles and convergence in US regional time series

Article Abstract:

The converging tendency of the business cycle in six poorest regions of United States is investigated. Kalman filter, signal extraction, unobserved components, etc. are examined.

Author: Carvalho, Vasco M., Harvey, Andrew C.
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2005
Economic aspects

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Growth, cycles and convergence in US regional time series: a personal point of view

Article Abstract:

It is suggested that analysis of growth and convergence should be done using unobserved components. The personal convictions pertaining to convergence of cycles is presented.

Author: Casals, Jose, Jerez, Miguel, Sotoca, Sonia
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2005
Time-series analysis, Time series analysis

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Subjects list: Analysis, Forecasts and trends, Market trend/market analysis, Business cycles, United States
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