Persistence in foreign exchange rates

Article Abstract:

An examination of the long-run behavior of seven daily nominal exchange rates using univariate and multivariate persistence measures is presented. The results show that the long-run behavior deviates from that of a pure random walk in certain periods for some currencies. The multivariate estimates indicate the effect of the EMS Exchange Rate Mechanism and increased post-Louvre Accord coordinated intervention. Contemporaneous effects on other currencies account for most of the effect of a shock in one currency on another currency's long-run value.

Author: Dekimpe, Marnik G., van de Gucht, Linda M., Kwok, Chuck C.Y.
Analysis, Prices and rates, Foreign exchange, Foreign exchange rates, Foreign exchange market

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Some international evidence on the stochastic behavior of interest rates

Article Abstract:

A study was conducted to examine the stochastic behavior of short-term interest rates in 11 countries. Eight stochastic models, which are nested within a discretized approximation to a differential equation, were used. Results show that no single model can be used to describe the stochastic structure of interest rates for all the countries concerned.

Author: Tse, Y.K.
Research, Stochastic analysis, Interest rates

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