The asymmetry of the sAPE measure and other comments on the M3-Competition

Article Abstract:

The author finds that symmetric mean absolute percentage error penalizes low forecasts more than high forecasts. A proposal for an accuracy measurement is the square root of the mean square forecast error.

Author: Koehler, Anne B.
World

User Contributions:

Comment about this article or add new information about this topic:

CAPTCHA


On forecasting cointegrated seasonal time series

Article Abstract:

The article analyzes seasonal and periodic time series empirically. Two VAR models are used as benchmarks. One works best for short periods, and the other for longer periods.

Author: Franses, Philip Hans, Lof, Marten

User Contributions:

Comment about this article or add new information about this topic:

CAPTCHA



Subjects list: Statistical Data Included, Methods, Economic forecasting, Business forecasting
This website is not affiliated with document authors or copyright owners. This page is provided for informational purposes only. Unintentional errors are possible.