International Journal of Forecasting 2004 - Abstracts

International Journal of Forecasting 2004
TitleSubjectAuthors
A comparison of financial duration models via density forecasts.EconomicsGiot, Pierre, Bauwens, Luc, Grammig, Joachim, Veredas, David
A comparison of tests of nonlinear cointegration with application to the predictability of US interest rates using the term structure.EconomicsClements, Michael P., Galvao, Ana Beatriz
AIDS in Portugal: endemic versus epidemic forecasting scenarios for mortality.(acquired immune deficiency syndrome )EconomicsOliveira, M. M., Mexia J. T.
An analytic network process model for financial-crisis forecasting.EconomicsSaaty, Thomas L., Niemira, Michael P.
A review of Stata 8.1 and its time series capabilities.EconomicsBaum, Christopher F.
Author's retrospective on 'forecasting seasonals and trends by exponentially weighted moving averages'.EconomicsHolt, Charles C.
Bayesian time series analysis of periodic behavior and spectral structure.EconomicsMcCoy, E.J., Stephens, D.A.
Bootstrap prediction intervals for autoregression using asymptotically mean-unbiased estimators.EconomicsKim, Jae H.
Bridge models to forecast the euro area GDP.(Gross Domestic Product)EconomicsBaffigi, Alberto, Golinelli, Roberto, Parigi, Giuseppe
Charles Holt's report on exponentially weighted moving averages: an introduction and appreciation.EconomicsOrd, Keith
Combing time series models for forecasting.EconomicsHui Zou, Yuhong Yang
Commentary on: a new approach to forecasting intermittent demand for service parts inventories.EconomicsLawrence, Michael
Comments on damped seasonal factors and decisions by potential users.EconomicsKoehler, Anne B.
Damping seasonal factors: shrinkage estimators for the X-12-ARIMA program.EconomicsMiller, Don M., Williams, Dan
Distance and prediction error variance constraints for ARMA model portfolios.EconomicsChenoweth, Timothy, Dowling, Karen, Hubata, Robert, St. Louis, Robert
Domestic and international influences on business cycle regimes in Europe.EconomicsOsborn, Denise R., Sensier, Marianne, Artis, Michael, Birchenhall, Chris
Effects of judges' forecasting on their later combination of forecasts for the same outcomes.(psychological influences)EconomicsHarries, Clare, Harvey, Nigel
Effects of temporal aggregation on estimates and forecasts of fractionally integreated processes: a Mote - Carlo study.EconomicsSmith, Jeremy, Souza, Leonardo R.
Efficient market hypothesis and forecasting.EconomicsTimmermann, Allan, Granger, Clive W. J.
Evaluating consumer sentiments as predictors of UK household consumption behavior u are they accurate and useful?EconomicsEasaw, Joshy Z., Heravi, Saeed M.
Extreme value theory and value-at-risk: relative performance in emerging markets.EconomicsGencay, Ramazan, Selcuk, Faruk
Flexible regression models and relative forecast performance.EconomicsDahl, Christian M., Hylleberg, Svend
Forecasting discrete valued low count time series.EconomicsFreeland, R.K., McCabe, B.P.M.
Forecasting economic and financial time-series with non-linear models.EconomicsFranses, Philip Hans, Clements, Michael P., Swanson, Norman R.
Forecasting economic time series with unconditional time-varying variance.EconomicsBellegem, Sebastien Van, Sachs, Rainer von
Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables.(European Monetary Union)EconomicsMarcellino, Massimliano
Forecasting performance of multivariate time series models with full and reduced rank: an empirical examination.(Quenouille's work)EconomicsBessler, David A., Wang, Zijun
Forecasting seasonals and trends by exponentially weighted moving averages.EconomicsHolt, Charles C.
Forecasting threshold cointegrated systems.EconomicsGooijer, Jan D. De, Vidiella-i-Anguera, Antoni
Forecasting unemployment using an autoregression with censored latent effects parameters.EconomicsFranses, Philip Hans, Paap, Richard, Vroomen, Bjorn
Forecasting volatility: a reality check based on option pricing, utility function, value-at-risk, and predictive likelihood.EconomicsGonzalez-Rivera, Gloria, Lee, Tae-Hwy, Mishra, Santosh
Forecasting with a nonlinear dynamic model of stock returns and industrial production.EconomicsBradley, Michael D., Jansen, Dennis W.
How costly is it to ignore breaks when forecasting the direction of a time series.EconomicsTimmermann, Allan, Pesaran, Hashem M.
Linear prediction of temporal aggregates under model misspecification.EconomicsMan, K.S.
Linear versus neural network forecasts for European industrial production series.EconomicsOsborn, Denise R., Heravi, Saeed, Birchenhall, C.R.
Naive, ARIMA, nonparametric, transfer function and VAR models: a comparison of forecasting performance.(Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average)(Value-Added Reseller )EconomicsThomakos, Dimitrios D., Guerard, John B.
Parameter estimation and tests of equal forecast accuracy between non - nested models.EconomicsMcCracken, Michael
Recursive modelling of symmetric and asymmetric volatility in the presence of extreme observations.EconomicsMcAleer, Michael, Guan Ng, Hock
Research on forecasting.Economics 
Sales forecasting using longitudinal data models.EconomicsMiller, Thomas W., Frees, Edward W.
Seasonal adjustment perspectives on 'damping seasonal factors: shrinkage estimators for X-12-ARIMA program'.EconomicsFindley, David F., Wills, Kellie C., Monsell, Brian C.
Shrinkage: when and how?(James-Stein's shrinkage estimators)EconomicsOrd, Keith
Software Review.(time series modeling software)(Product/Service Evaluation)EconomicsBos, Charles S.
Some recent developments in predictive accuracy testing with nested models and (generic) nonlinear alternatives.EconomicsCorradi, Valentina, Swanson, Norman R.
The effects of feedback on judgmental interval predictions.EconomicsBolger, Fergus, Onkal-Atay, Dilek
The evolution of consensus in macroeconomic forecasting.EconomicsGregory, Allan W., Yetman, James
The impact of institutional change on forecast accuracy: a case study of budget forecasting in Washington State.EconomicsDeschamps, Elaine
The performance of SETAR models: a regime conditional evaluation of point, interval and density forecasts.EconomicsBoero, Gianna, Marrocu, Emanuela
The value of statistical forecasts in the UK association football betting market.EconomicsPope, Peter F., Dixon, Mark J.
Volatility forecasting with smooth transition exponential smoothing.EconomicsTaylor, James W.
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