Economic Recovery Beginning to Downshift
Article Abstract:
Recovery from the worst economic recession in forty years is well under way. During the beginning three quarters of 1983 the gross national product (GNP) rose at a rate of five per cent annually, which equals average gains in other times of economic recovery. The United States is currently in a transition from a recovery to an expansion situation. Certain concerns of the election year and doubts adhering to financial markets make it difficult to predict the possible moves of Congress, the Federal Reserve and the president. International debt, the proliferation of federal budget deficits and a weakening of the trade balance could easily impede recovery. The housing and auto industries are expected to continue to have problems. Long-term bonds are expected to decrease to about ten per cent in 1984. A graph of GNP movement is featured.
Publication Name: Futures: Magazine of Commodities & Options
Subject: Business, general
ISSN:
Year: 1984
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Watch Out for D-Mark when Dollar Drops
Article Abstract:
The West German deutschemark (D-Mark) has become the link between all of the other European currencies and the dollar. The deutschemark is now traded in both the cash market and the futures market. Since January 1984 options on deutschemark futures may be purchased on the International Monetary Market at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Several economic indicators are watched by analysts to accurately follow the deutschemark's performance against other currencies. The indicators are: the spread between United States and West German interest rates, events at the West German equivalent of the Federal Reserve called the Bundesbank, government interventions in the currency markets, and Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) exports. Also, east-west relations are an important factor.
Publication Name: Futures: Magazine of Commodities & Options
Subject: Business, general
ISSN:
Year: 1984
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How to Trade Stocks without Trading a Stock
Article Abstract:
It is now possible to invest in futures and options on subindexes. This facilitates investment in sector activity in the wider market. Trading stock index futures is not particularly difficult for the average investor. Index information is widely disseminated. Contracts provide for cash settlement. This investment does not necessitate detailed knowledge of company conditions. The Chicago Merchantile Exchange wants to handle many Standard and Poor subindexes. A diversified stock portfolio, traded with high correlates to the index, can be used in arbtirage. Certain subindexes may falter if liquidity is lacking for commercial purposes.
Publication Name: Futures: Magazine of Commodities & Options
Subject: Business, general
ISSN:
Year: 1984
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