International economic outlook

Article Abstract:

Some 430 business leaders from 62 countries maintain a cautiously optimistic stance about the world economy for the first half of 1996. This was gleaned from the recent Economic Survey International conducted by the German Ifo Institute for economic research. The experts' assessment of global economic trends reflected the slowdown in world economic growth in 4th qtr. 1995 and 1st qtr. 1996. A look at investment growth patterns in industrial nations shows volatile financial markets. The risk for serious economic crisis, which could result in drastic changes in business and consumer confidence, is seen to be potentially heightened by the erratic fluctuations in market interest rates, misaligned currencies and movements in capital flows.

Analysis, Reports, International economic relations, Economic forecasting

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International economic outlook

Article Abstract:

Japan is considered to have the best growth opportunities in 1992, with a real growth rate of 2.8% predicted. France is expected to take over from Germany as the EC's leading force, with the German economy gradually weakening. The French economy is expected to grow 2.1% overall in 1992. US production will fall in 1st qtr 1992, with less than 2% growth in the next two quarters. The UK economy will recover only slightly in second-half 1992. The Spanish and Canadian economies will each grow about 2% overall in 1992. Dynamic economies in the Pacific Rim region will grow by over 5% in 1992-93.

Forecasts and trends, Economic geography

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Focus: economic prospects after unification

Article Abstract:

Economic indicators in East and West Germany point to economies that are declining. West Germany's growth rate dropped from 4.5% in 1990 to 3% in 1991 while East Germany's real gross domestic product was reduced by 22%. However, forecasts for a unified Germany are more optimistic, with the eastern part receiving higher expectations. The 1992 employment rate is expected to rise by 1% in the west and be reduced in the east by 10%. Real gross domestic product in 1992 is expected to go up by 1.5% in the west and by 11% in the east.

Economic aspects, Germany, Economic development, East Germany, West Germany, Germany, West, Germany, East

Similar abstracts:

• Abstracts: The world economy. International economic outlook. Acceleration in global liquidity will maintain moderate growth and inflationary pressures

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