Interest rates: up or down?

Article Abstract:

The UK government has many political reasons for wanting to reduce interest rates further. Furthermore, there seem to be few immediate economic reasons for not doing so,. However, a further cut in interest rates would in fact cause long-term damage to the economy, especially in terms of higher inflation. It would be more appropriate for the government to keep base interest rates at their current level until inflation begins to rise, and then to raise interest rates, rather than cut them.

Economic aspects, Interest rates

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World trade: will Britain boom?

Article Abstract:

The world trade surge is due to trade friendly policy changes, such as the removal of trade barriers by developing countries. Also contributing is the move from recession to recovery, with exports in world output rising from 11% to 18%. There has also been a decade of growth in international direct investment (IDI), particularly in east Asia. Britain's sterling levels are competitive against the Deutschmark and the French franc, and a currency weakness helps British exporters.

Forecasts and trends, International trade

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Surveys: are they accurate?

Article Abstract:

Business confidence surveys usually provide up-to-dat information and data is easy for the average person to understand, compared to economic indices. However many economists doubt the predictive value of such surveys, as when business conditions are weak companies feel less inclined to invest or recruit, and vice versa. Data an also be ministerpreted, and successful economic forecasting is more likely to come from looking at economic data.

Regulation of Agricultural Marketing and Commodities, Economics, Statistics & Coop Svc, Business, Surveys, Business surveys

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