Equities shrug off lower output figures

Article Abstract:

The UK chancellor may be right in his decision not to increase interest rates since figures on UK output indicate that this is slowing down. There was a fall in industrial production of 0.3% for Jun 1995, though this was still 1.8% above the Jun 1994 figures. Commercial vehicle sales were down by 10% in Jul 1995. The UK equities market has not shown much concern over fears that economic growth is slowing. The market could be boosted by an announcement of a bid, or another major development.

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UK equities: pensive peaks

Article Abstract:

The UK stock market is affected by bad news in Sep 1995, despite a generally rising market. Kleinwort Benson has forecast the FT-SE 100 index at 3650 for year-end 1995 while Charterhouse Tilney forecasts 3800 rising to 4000 for year-end 1996. Kleinwort Benson forecasts profits growth of between 9% and 10% for 1996, while Charterhouse Tilney forecasts profits growth of 15%. Raw material costs will fall and wage inflation will be modest, helping boost profits, Charterhouse Tilney argues.

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UK equities: a positive outlook

Article Abstract:

UK equities should benefit from bid activity and the FT-SE 100 may achieve 4000 by the middle of 1996, according to Goldman Sachs. Base rates may drop to 6.5% where they could remain which will encourage investors to re-invest in addition to keeping down yields for government securities. Political risk could affect the market in late 1996 and this is especially likely to affect shares in utilities, though technology shares are less likely to be affected.

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