Ready for recession

Article Abstract:

The high yields of many British old economy stocks indicate a risk of recession. Low inflation affects companies' pricing power, and the strength of pound sterling can also hit companies. Old economy stocks have also been sold by some fund managers moving to new economy stocks. Investors may not be aware of the extent to which the internet may benefit old economy stocks. Growth expectations can undergo rapid changes, and old economy stocks could offer large short-term gains for investors.

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US recession need not spell disaster

Article Abstract:

The impact of a possible recession on US equities is examined in detail with arguments that the impact may not be serious.

United States

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Footsie's strange link with recession

Article Abstract:

United Kingdom economic growth is slowing and this could mean that profits are affected which could in turn hit stock prices. Yet profits appear to have less of an impact on stock prices than do bond yields. Weak deamnd could cause an econmic slowdown with low inflation and a drop in interest rates, but a slowdown may also be caused by supply-side problems which means that interest rates and inflation will be high. Capacity constraints and stagnant labor productivity are problems, but the strength of pound sterling may push down inflation.

Economic aspects

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