Learning to profit from gyrating markets

Article Abstract:

UK investors often lack information they need to make correct decisions in terms of selling and buying shares. Technical analysts should be able to advise on when to take such decisionseven though clear information is lacking. Volatility tends to be followed by a rally in share prices, but signals are not infallible, and this was true in 1974. Factors such as labor unrest and high inflation undermined share prices. Indicators may not have been in use for long enough to take historical trends into account, and investors should be wary of new indicators.

Securities industry

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What bear markets have in common

Article Abstract:

Historical trends can help in understanding bear markets, and one patterns that is emerging is that they tend to become shorter, averaging six months. Typical bear markets involve a drop in stock prices of half gains accrued in a bull run, according to US research. Bear markets are more severe after major bull runs. Stock prices have increased by some 200% in from 1994 to 1998 in the United Kingdom, making this a medium bull run, and they should lose some two thirds of this gain, if past UK trends are followed.

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Evolution of the bear: as the UK stock market continues to struggle - its is now 14 months since it began falling - we explore what previous bear markets can tell us and find out that the beast is always evolving

Article Abstract:

The bear market has been defined as a long downward price fall due to broad economic problems, interrupted by significant rallies. However there is no generally accepted definition. A review of all stock market falls of 15% or more found that out of 20, 16 were in excess of 20% and 10 were more than 25%. Stock markets now move faster and investors are becoming used to short bear markets.

Finance

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