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Management forecasts and statistical prediction model forecasts in corporate budgeting

Article Abstract:

A comparison of management forecasts with statistical forecasts illustrates the limitations in the forecasting ability of humans. This human inadequacy is clearly noted in an environment wherein knowledge of basic departmental objectives and organizational influences are absent. Statistical models are observed to display greater forecast accuracy than human decision-makers. The superiority of models was derived from absolute percentage prediction error data of three management sales volume forecasts and two statistical forecasts using regression and time-series analysis.

Author: Walker, Kenton B., Mcclelland, Lawrence A.
Publisher: Blackwell Publishers Ltd.
Publication Name: Journal of Accounting Research
Subject: Business
ISSN: 0021-8456
Year: 1991
Methods, Decision-making, Decision making, Economic forecasting, Business budgets, Regression analysis

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Earnings management during import relief investigations

Article Abstract:

Managers decrease earnings during import relief investigations. This income-decreasing effect is observed in the earnings management functions of firms during the year of investigations regarding wealth transfers by the United States International Trade Commission. Total nondiscretionary accruals aree estimated using time-series models. The resulting discretionary accruals are examined through cross-sectional tests of the earnings management hypothesis using firm-specific expectations models.

Author: Jones, Jennifer J.
Publisher: Blackwell Publishers Ltd.
Publication Name: Journal of Accounting Research
Subject: Business
ISSN: 0021-8456
Year: 1991
Admin. of general economic programs, Accrual basis accounting, United States. International Trade Commission

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The sale of assets to manage earnings in Japan

Article Abstract:

Japanese mangers' earnings forecast is used in transfering assets from asset and securities sales to more nearly match the forecast.

Author: Herrmann, Don, Inque, Tatsuo, Thomas, Wayne B.
Publisher: Blackwell Publishers Ltd.
Publication Name: Journal of Accounting Research
Subject: Business
ISSN: 0021-8456
Year: 2003
Japan, Corporate Profits, Management dynamics, Capital assets, Company business management

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Subjects list: Research, Models, Time-series analysis, Time series analysis, Management, Profit, Profits
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