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Trends, traumas and turning points

Article Abstract:

An extrapolation of previous stock market cycles indicates that UK share prices are due to end a bull run started in 1994 and continuing to 1997. The duration of this bull run and the proximity of an election, scheduled for May 1997, indicate that a bear run could be approaching. Serious falls in stock prices tend to be associated with major events such as political problems, recession and major changes in retail prices. The bear market may last under eight months, if previous trends can be trusted, so investors should think of when to re-enter the market.

Author: Schwartz, David
Publisher: FT Business
Publication Name: Investors Chronicle
Subject: Business
ISSN: 0261-3115
Year: 1997
Business cycles

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Budget day will help the trend

Article Abstract:

UK share prices have tended not to perform well in the month of November during the 20th century. This could change with a change in timing of the UK Budget, held in November rather than spring of each year. There appears to be a correlation between the timing of the Budget and subsequent share price rises. This can be seen by analyzing changes in the timing of the Budget with share prices for the following two months. There could be rises in Nov 1995 for other historical reasons.

Author: Schwartz, David
Publisher: FT Business
Publication Name: Investors Chronicle
Subject: Business
ISSN: 0261-3115
Year: 1995
Economic aspects, Budget, Budgeting, Budgets

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When sell means buy

Article Abstract:

Forecasts for British equities based on sales of units trusts are examined in detail.

Publisher: FT Business
Publication Name: Investors Chronicle
Subject: Business
ISSN: 0261-3115
Year: 2001

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Subjects list: United Kingdom, Stock-exchange, Stock exchanges, Exchanges
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