UK: nearing the peak

Article Abstract:

UK producer prices are close to a peak, according to Salomon Brothers. Commodity prices rises which began in 1994 have begun to ease, and this is reflected in a slowing of rises for output prices. Capacity constraints no longer represent a danger following interest rate rises. The core inflation rate for output prices should drop in 1996, and commodity prices are not likely to rise due to a slowdown for the world economy. A reduction in output price rises should help the UK retail inflation rate.

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UK interest rates: inflation shock

Article Abstract:

UK interest rates look set to rise in 1997 whichever party is in power, according to Charterhouse's Richard Jeffrey. Interest rates could rise to 8.5% by Dec 1997 and may be increased prior to an election. Income levels are rising and this will boost consumer spending also strengthened by a drop in unemployment and rise in house prices. This will push up demand and so inflation. The strength of pound sterling is not likely to subdue inflation.

Interest Rates, Economic policy

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