The interest rate red herring

Article Abstract:

US interest rates look set to rise, though this may not necessarily be bad for stock prices. The impact of rate rises ia assessed in detail.

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Weathering the interest rate storms

Article Abstract:

US and German interest rates look set to rise, and this may not depress stock prices. Stock prices may already have taken these rises into account. The interest rate rises may not be as high as is feared by the market. Rises in earnings could help offset interest rate rises. Inflation and inflation expectations may stay low, which should help stocks. German exporters have benefited from a drop in the value of the German mark, and US inflation is lower because imports are cheaper.

Germany

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The real worry on Wall Street

Article Abstract:

US interest rates may be raised in Aug 1999 in order to prevent overheating in the economy. A rise in petroleum prices and a drop in the value of the US dollar add to inflationary pressures resulting from domestic developments such as slower productivity growth. Wage inflation is also a worry, and appears to be resulting from low levels of unemployment. Profit margins are likely to be affected, or inflation will rise. Wage growth thus represent s a serious threat to stock prices, and one that is more serious than interest rate rises.

Wages, Inflation (Finance), Wages and salaries, Inflation (Economics)

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