AIDS in Portugal: endemic versus epidemic forecasting scenarios for mortality

Article Abstract:

The epidemic and endemic scenarios are proposed to study the evolution of acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) in Portugal. Accordingly, a multistage model is presented to study AIDS in which the stage of infected patients precedes the stage of death by AIDS.

Forecasts, trends, outlooks, Forecasts and trends, Market trend/market analysis, AIDS (Disease)

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The evolution of consensus in macroeconomic forecasting

Article Abstract:

The macroeconomic variables when forecast by the professionals, converge over time towards consensus. The consensus evolution is analyzed under parametric polynomial decay function.

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Restricted forecasting with VAR models: an analysis of a test for joint compatibility between restrictions and forecasts

Article Abstract:

A study uses vector autoregressive error correction models to examine restricted forecasting of various economic conditions.

Mexico, Methods, Usage, Autoregression (Statistics)

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