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Automatic ARIMA modeling including interventions, using time series expert software

Article Abstract:

This article accomplishes the following: it provides a description of the method of automatic Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), it offer comments on the results, and it makes general comments about the M3-Competition.

Author: Melard, G., Pasteels, J.M.
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2000

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Out-of-sample tests of forecasting accuracy: an analysis and review

Article Abstract:

Researchers evaluating the accuracy of forecasting analysis have failed to utilize rolling-order evaluations of out-of-sample tests. This has made it difficult to compare or replicate their studies.

Author: Tashman, Leonard J.
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2000
Forecasting

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The use of an expert system in the MC competition

Article Abstract:

An Expert System was developed and used on the M3-Competition data set. Examination of the data revealed that no single series method had proved to be statistically distinguishable from the rest.

Author: Flores, Benito E., Pearce, Stephen L.
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2000
Illustration

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Subjects list: Statistical Data Included, United States, Analysis, Forecasts and trends, Econometrics, Economic forecasting, Economic indicators, Business models
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