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Bootstrap prediction intervals for ARCH models

Article Abstract:

The process of predicting intervals for autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) models using parametric and non-parametric bootstrap is presented.

Author: Reeves, Jonathan J.
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2005
Autoregression (Statistics), Parametric devices

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Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review

Article Abstract:

Probabilistic approaches and limitations of demographic forecasting are discussed. Focus on difficulties of demographic change forecasting is also presented.

Author: Booth, Heather
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2006
Evaluation, History, Demographic transition

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Joint forecasts of southern European fertility rates with non-stationery dynamic factor models

Article Abstract:

A factor model using multiple time series for joint forecasts of fertility rates in southern Europe is presented.

Author: Ortega, Jose Antonio, Poncela, Pilar
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2005
Europe, Mathematical models, Fertility, Human, Human fertility, Factor analysis, Discriminant analysis, Time-series analysis, Time series analysis

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Subjects list: Australia, Usage, Forecasts and trends, Market trend/market analysis
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