Econometrics and presidential elections

Article Abstract:

Econometric voting equation estimates for US Presidential elections from 1916 to 1992 shows consistency with an estimated standard and within-sample error of less than 2 and 3.4 percentage points respectively. However, the final equation may be overparameterized given the limited number of observations. The outside-sample errors for 1992 are substantial and an updated 1992 equation which includes the good news n variable and drops the time limit on inflation variables has impelled changes in some coefficient estimates. Prediction for the 1996 elections are conditional to economic forecasts.

Usage, Elections, Econometrics, Presidents, Presidential elections

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How to judge voting schemes

Article Abstract:

Analysis of voting schemes consists of the classical social choice approach of providing more than axiomatic demands of separate properties to complete voting schemes, thereby aiding in the study of the pros and cons of voting procedures. A studying of the workings of completely specified voting schemes in comparison to traditional voting procedures provides insight on the comparative utility of various voting patterns.

Political aspects, Voting

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The single transferable vote

Article Abstract:

Discussion of the history and characteristics of the single transferable vote and its comparison with other voting procedures provides insight on the quota, choice of which votes to transfer and analyses the limitations of the single transferable vote system. Among other things, its early history, its further refinement and the refinement-comprehensibility trade-off are elucidated.

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