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Effects of parameter estimation on prediction densities: a bootstrap approach

Article Abstract:

Using the bootstrap approach, the impact of parameter estimation on prediction densities is studied. The average coverage and length of intervals based on Least Absolute Deviations were found to be closer to nominal values than those based on Ordinary Least Squares, when error distribution was not Gaussian.

Author: Pascual, Lorenzo, Romo, Juan, Ruiz, Esther
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2001
Spain, Forecasting, Parameter estimation

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The asymmetry of judgemental confidence intervals in time series forecasting

Article Abstract:

The process of placing a forecast within a time series affects the size and direction of assymetries.

Author: O'Connor, Marcus, Remus, William, Griggs, Kenneth
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2001
Time-series analysis, Time series analysis, Confidence intervals

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Subjects list: Statistical Data Included, Methods, Usage, Business forecasting
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