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Forecasting discrete valued low count time series

Article Abstract:

The conditional median is suggested as a general method to produce coherent forecasts for discrete valued processes. An analysis of Poisson Autoregressive model exemplifies the ideas.

Author: Freeland, R.K., McCabe, B.P.M.
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2004

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Forecasting the global electronics cycle with leading indicators: a Bayesian VAR approach

Article Abstract:

A study using a Bayesian VAR to forecast the trends in global electronics industry is presented.

Author: Chow, Hwee Kwan, Choy, Keen Meng
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2006
ELECTRONIC & OTHER ELECTRIC EQUIPMENT, Singapore, International aspects, Electronics industry, Analysis of variance, Industry forecasts

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Bayesian predictions of low count time series

Article Abstract:

A Bayesian methodology for producing coherent forecasts of low count time series is presented.

Author: Martin, G.M., McCabe, B.P.M.
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2005
United Kingdom, Australia, Forecasts and trends, Market trend/market analysis

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Subjects list: Methods, Time-series analysis, Time series analysis, Usage, Bayesian statistical decision theory, Bayesian analysis
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