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Learning to predict rationally when beliefs are heterogeneous

Article Abstract:

The adaptive learning in a financing market with heterogeneous traders is analyzed and is shown that the good forecasts hinge essentially on good estimates of the demand behavior of market participants. The conditions under which trajectories are generated by the adaptive learning scheme converge to trajectories with rational expectations for fundamentalists are given.

Author: Wenzelburger, Jan
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0165-1889
Year: 2004
Market development

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Path-dependence in a Ramsey model with resource amenities and limited regeneration

Article Abstract:

The dynamics of a Ramsey model is described, this model includes renewable resources with amenity value and limited regeneration capacity. In dynamic models the property of path-dependency extends beyond the Ramsey model and is related to the non-uniqueness of steady states.

Author: Gerlagh, Reyer, Keyzer, Michiel A.
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0165-1889
Year: 2004
Usage, Economics, Economic theory, Ramsey theory

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Subjects list: United States, Analysis, Forecasts and trends, Market trend/market analysis, Financial markets
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