Regional multi-family housing start forecast accuracy

Article Abstract:

This paper on forecast accuracy of regional multi-family housing starts concludes the forecast used on expansion, recession, and recovery are comparatively less reliable for non-agricultural employment but superior to those for single -family residential construction.

Statistical Data Included, Residential construction, Forecasts and trends, Florida, House construction, Employment forecasting

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Comparing seasonal components for structural time series models

Article Abstract:

Several models for including seasonal fluctuations in economic forecasting are discussed. Industrial production in the US is emphasized.

Analysis, Industrial productivity, Seasonal variations (Economics)

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Forecasting an accumulated series based on partial accumulation II: a new Bayesian method for short series with stable seasonal patterns

Article Abstract:

A study makes a stochastic analysis using Bayesian method to forecast time series. Mathematical models are used in the study.

Usage, Bayesian statistical decision theory, Bayesian analysis, Mathematical models, Time-series analysis, Time series analysis

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