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Some recent developments in predictive accuracy testing with nested models and (generic) nonlinear alternatives

Article Abstract:

One should be aware of the contribution parameter estimation error (PEE), the choice of linear versus nonlinear models and the issues of misspecification during the process of constructing predictive accuracy tests. New Monte Carlo and empirical evidence is provided, which indicates that in a generic nonlinear test of predictive accuracy, lags of money growth may not be useful for forecasting the output growth.

Author: Corradi, Valentina, Swanson, Norman R.
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2004
Analysis, Prediction theory, Parameter estimation

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Comments on Fok, van Dijk and Franses's paper:"Forecasting aggregates using panels of nonlinear time series"

Article Abstract:

An analysis of using panles of nonlinear time series for forecasting aggregates proposed by Dennis Fok, Dick van Dijk and Philip Hans Franses in their report, "Forecasting aggregates using panels of nonlinear time series" is presented.

Author: Hoyo, del J.
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2005
Reports, Economic forecasting, Time-series analysis, Time series analysis, Dijk, Dick van, Fok, Dennis, Franses, Philip Hans

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Subjects list: Methods
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