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The relationships between sentiment, returns and volatility

Article Abstract:

A study analyzing the volatility in predications brought about by market sentiments is presented. The study also shows that lagged returns result in volatility. According to the study, sentiments are influenced by returns and volatility. The study is important for assessing stock index returns.

Author: Taylor, Stephen J., Keswani, Aneel, Wang, Yaw-Huei
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2006
United Kingdom, Behavior, Investors, Return on investment, Rate of return

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Predictability of large future changes in major financial indices

Article Abstract:

A study developing an algorithm that proves the presence of a collective organization amongst the agents in social systems, which results in substantial changes in major financial indices like Dow Jones Industrial Average Index and Hong Kong Hang Seng composite index is presented.

Author: Sornette, Didier, Zhou, Wei-Xing
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2006
United States, Public affairs, Social aspects, Usage, Algorithms, Algorithm

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The longer-horizon predictability of German stock market volatility

Article Abstract:

A new method of predicting the volatility in German stock markets for a period of 1 to 45 days is presented. According to earlier research, volatility of the Deutscher Aktien Index (DAX) is predictable for only 15 trading days.

Author: Raunig, Burkhard
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2006
Germany, Deutscher Aktienindex (Index)

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Subjects list: Analysis, Forecasts and trends, Market trend/market analysis, Forecasting, Stock markets, Stock market, Stock price indexes
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