A classifying procedure for signalling turning points

Article Abstract:

Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is used for developing a classifying procedure that helps in producing probability forecasts for turning points. Markov Bayesian Classifier (MBC), which places a penalty for a wrong decision in the cost function also helps in determining the turning points and was applied for forecasting the turning points in the United States and Swedish economies.

Models, Mathematical ability, Probability forecasts (Meteorology)

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Paddling your own canoodle: the derivation of this sweethearting is in fierce dispute

Article Abstract:

Research after Sen Orrin Hatch referred to Pres Bill Clinton as a possible 'canoodler' reveals that there is no agreement on the root of 'canoodle.' The German root leads to 'a squeezable dumpling' while the English root leads to 'a fumbling caress.' Various slang for 'lady friend; are also discussed.

Analysis, Usage, Column, Slang, Americanisms

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Asphalt optimist

Article Abstract:

Hitchhiking puts the hitchhiker into contact with many different types of people. Most of the rides come from white, single males who drive old cars and smoke cigarettes. Hitchhiking and picking up hitchhikers are both acts of optimism not practiced very much in the late 90s.

Humor and anecdotes, Optimism, Hitchhiking

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