Estimating potential output, core inflation, and the NAIRU as latent variables

Article Abstract:

Models to obtain estimates of the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment, the core inflation rate, and trend investment rates for the United States are presented. They are based on an unobserved component model, compatible with decomposition of real gross domestic product into trend and cycle.

Forecasts, trends, outlooks, Unemployment, Models, Economic aspects, Forecasts and trends, Market trend/market analysis, Economic forecasting

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The difference between Hedonic imputation indexes and time dummy hedonic indexes

Article Abstract:

A comparative analysis of inflation measurement methods hedonic imputation indexes and time dummy hedonic indexes is presented.

Comparative analysis, Econometric models, Hedonic calculus

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Evaluating the effectiveness of state-switching time series models for U.S. real output

Article Abstract:

A non-linear time series model is presented, complimenting the sate-switching models for U.S. real output.

Evaluation, Time-series analysis, Time series analysis

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