Modelling and forecasting time series with a general non-normal distribution

Article Abstract:

A study analyzing a model that forecasts time series with the Johnson family of distributions was conducted using the Monte Carlo simulation for reliablility. Results indicate that the Janacek-Swift model can be used to forecast with some reliability. A range of real and simulated series was forecasted. The naive forecast provided a report with the empirical minimum mean absolute error.

Research, Forecasting

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Forecasting the Antwerp maritime traffic flows using transformations and intervention models

Article Abstract:

Tranformations and intervention models are used with univariate time-series models to forecast the shipping traffic volumes in Antwerp, Belgium's port.

Belgium, Water Transportation, Forecasts and trends, Antwerp, Belgium (City), Shipping industry, Transformations (Mathematics)

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Forecasting with k-factor Gegenbauer processes: theory and applications

Article Abstract:

A model for Paris, France's urban transportation is developed. The model is good for long term forecasting but not for the short term.

France, Local and Suburban Transportation, Local Transit, Urban Transit Systems, Transportation industry, Paris, France, Urban transportation

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