Modelling the effect of purchase quantity on consumer choice of product assortment
Article Abstract:
A model of purchase quantity effects on consumer choice of product assortment is presented and evaluated against a null model with constrained purchase quantity and no effects of flavour choice. Results of the evaluation reveals that the alternate model is better than the null model in terms of data fit with the estimated parameter strongly significant and correctly signed.
Publication Name: Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Mathematics
ISSN: 0277-6693
Year: 1998
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Regression-based modeling of market option prices: with application to S&P500 options
Article Abstract:
Localized option regressions are used to model and forecast market option prices such as S&P500 options. The method yields smaller pricing errors than the Practitioner Black-Scholes model and can evaluate more complex risk-neutral models.
Publication Name: Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Mathematics
ISSN: 0277-6693
Year: 2007
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Forecast accuracy after pretesting with an application to the stock market
Article Abstract:
In econometrics the same data is usually selected for both model selection and forecasting. The flaws in the methodology are explained and a better alternative, the 'neutral Laplace estimator' is presented for stock market forecasting.
Publication Name: Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Mathematics
ISSN: 0277-6693
Year: 2004
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