Testing the rationality of forecast revisions made by the IMF and the OECD

Article Abstract:

A study analyzing the rationality behind the alterations of real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) forecasts and GDP deflator forecasts by International Monetary Fund (United Nations) (IMF), and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) in the last thirty years is presented.

Japan, International Monetary Fund, Global economy, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

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Political maneuverings as sources of measurement errors in forecasts

Article Abstract:

A model used to explain the deviations in budget forecasts of March and November are analyzed. Errors in GDP (Gross domestic product) forecasts and findings are also explained. The influence of politics on the economic policy is also studied.

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Ex post and ex ante prediction of unobserved multivariate time series: a structural-model based approach

Article Abstract:

Stochastic analysis is done in a study on benchmarking to forecast multivariate time series and the gross domestic product is used as an example.

Analysis, Usage, Stochastic analysis, Benchmarks, Benchmarking, Time-series analysis, Time series analysis, Benchmark

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