The entry and exit of workers and the growth of employment: an analysis of French establishments

Article Abstract:

A study on the entry and exit of workers in French establishments reveals that three persons were hired while two persons were terminated for every job created between 1987 to 1990. One person was hired while two others were separated for every job destroyed during the same period. Worker entry but not separation rates are altered when an establishment changes its workforce. Almost 1/3 of short-term employment contracts are transformed into long-term contracts as their terms become due. The entry and exit of workers are both countercyclical when between-establishment heterogeneity and common trends are controlled.

France, Labor supply, Labor force, Labor mobility, Employee turnover

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Unemployment fluctuations in the United States: further tests of the sectoral-shifts hypothesis

Article Abstract:

The phenomenon of sectoral shifts in US employment was analyzed by examining variations in unemployment levels from 1960 to 1991. The theory of sectoral shifts posits that differences in employment demand is a determinant of aggregate employment and unemployment. It was concluded that sectoral shifts are indeed a major factor in employment levels for the period studied and that business-cycles have an impact on employment.

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Forecasting Asymmetric Unemployment Rates. (Linear forecasting of unemployment may be obtained via the use of time-series models)

Article Abstract:

A better forecast of unemployment rate in the United States may be obtained by utilizing non-linear models. However, the overall performance and results of this models depend on whether the status of the unemployment rate series is transformed or stationarity. On the other hand, researches on how non-linearities in the unemployment rate can be modeled are also tackled.

Models

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