The problem of judgement in constructing numerical models for policy analysis

Article Abstract:

It is typical to employ complex mathematical computations to elucidate and analyze public policy issues and the calculations involved frequently use large computer programs. Judgement is frequently required in the construction of numerical models that are used to analyze and predict the behavior of part of the real world. It will be shown through a case study about a radioactive waste storage facility that not only are judgements needed to develop such models but also that there may be no obvious methods to check if such judgements are sound.

Econometrics & Model Building, Models, Analysis, Econometrics, Ethical aspects, Mathematical models, Judgment, Judgment (Psychology), Business models, Public policy (Law)

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Using traffic prediction models for providing traveller information

Article Abstract:

A description of the development of Advanced Traveller Information Systems (ATISs) as part of Intelligent Transportation Systems is presented, with focus on how improved telecommunication systems have increased the use of ATISs.

Telephone and telegraph apparatus, Telephone Apparatus Manufacturing, Telephone Traffic/Maintenance Systems, Information services, Transportation, Traffic congestion, Travelers, Traffic monitoring systems (Telephone)

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Software for inventive problem-solving

Article Abstract:

Developments in the area of computer supported invention are discussed. An approach has been used for synthesis of new technical systems with different functional purposes.

Software, Problem solving

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