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A challenge of integrating technology foresight and assessment in industrial strategy development and policymaking

Article Abstract:

The Delphi-scenario writing (DSW) method and the method of general assessment are reviewed for exploring a new intelligent methodology for integrating technological needs and social needs by articulating future demands. Assessing the future trends of social needs and technology advancements in order to promote the strategic technology policy and appropriate demand articulation of budding technologies are important to the economic and social productivity.

Author: Kameoka, Akio, Yokoo, Yoshika, Kuwahara, Terutaka
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: Technological Forecasting & Social Change
Subject: Social sciences
ISSN: 0040-1625
Year: 2004
Influence, Industrial development, Industrialization, Technology assessment

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Power law behavior and world system evolution: a millennial learning process

Article Abstract:

The crucial role of the learning rate as a pacemaker of change and the concept of cascade of evolutionary processes has been explained and supported by mathematical and empirical analysis. The fact that the Darwinian evolutionary algorithm is quite close to the learning model has been recognized.

Author: Devezas, Tessaleno, Modelski, George
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: Technological Forecasting & Social Change
Subject: Social sciences
ISSN: 0040-1625
Year: 2003
Netherlands, Learning, Mathematical analysis

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Power law behavior and world system evolution: a millennial learning process

Article Abstract:

The crucial role of the learning rate as a pacemaker of change and the concept of cascade of evolutionary processes has been explained and supported by mathematical and empirical analysis. The fact that the Darwinian evolutionary algorithm is quite close to the learning model has been recognized.

Author: Devezas, Tessaleno, Modelski, George
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: Technological Forecasting & Social Change
Subject: Social sciences
ISSN: 0040-1625
Year: 2003
Forecasts, trends, outlooks, Forecasts and trends, Market trend/market analysis, Genetic algorithms, Knowledge acquisition (Expert systems)

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Subjects list: United States, Evaluation, Preview of coming year, Technological forecasting, Future of computing
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