Predictions and policy decisions
Article Abstract:
There is increasing evidence that society is shifting from a belief in predictions based on scientific assumptions to policy decisions that rely basically on experience. This scenario will be be further advanced should science-based predictions used in policy decisions become unsatisfactory and frustrating. An increase in the significance of 'internal models' coming from a better understanding of the dynamics of adaptive systems as well as the success of modest policies based on experience will also contribute to this impending transition.
Publication Name: Technological Forecasting & Social Change
Subject: Social sciences
ISSN: 0040-1625
Year: 1999
User Contributions:
Comment about this article or add new information about this topic:
A variable P value rolling Grey forecasting model for Taiwan semiconductor industry production
Article Abstract:
A rolling Grey forecasting model (RGM) by taking a variable value for a constant P, that was assumed to be constant in the Grey forecasting model (GM), to estimate the annual production of semiconductor in Taiwan.
Publication Name: Technological Forecasting & Social Change
Subject: Social sciences
ISSN: 0040-1625
Year: 2005
User Contributions:
Comment about this article or add new information about this topic:
Better technology forecasting using systematic innovation methods
Article Abstract:
The author uses a Russian study as the basis for discovery of 50 technology trends. He examines the trends for maturity levels and discerns which have future potential.
Publication Name: Technological Forecasting & Social Change
Subject: Social sciences
ISSN: 0040-1625
Year: 2003
User Contributions:
Comment about this article or add new information about this topic:
- Abstracts: Innovation and network structural dynamics: study of the alliance network of a major sector of the biotechnology industry
- Abstracts: Marketing to PHAs and CDs: Journal of Housing LAB. RTC affordable housing: a windfall for PHAs. Crime prevention: protecting PHAs
- Abstracts: Managerial selection decision models: examination of configural cue processing. Member variation, recognition of expertise, and group performance
- Abstracts: Occupational complexity, control, and personal income: their relation to psychological well-being in men and women. part 2
- Abstracts: Sexuality education and the schools: issues and answers. Colombia's "national project for sex education." Policy watch: the wait is over