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Computer-chip firms aren't likely to post many big earnings surprises

Article Abstract:

The semiconductor industry is expected to deviate from it's historical reputation as a volatile industry by maintaining the status quo. Many analysts predict that investors hoping for a strong rebound in the 4th qtr will be disappointed by rare above-average results compared to the surprising increases of 1995. Jonathan Joseph, an analyst with Montgomery Securities, believes that although 40% of companies could potentially report slight increases, those minimal elevations will not compare with the 80% of companies that did so in 1995's peak periods. Cowen & Co analyst, Drew Peck, forecasts that many companies will post earnings lower than the previous year, but higher than the 3rd qtr reports, despite the fragmentation within the semiconductor industry. The expected increases in the 3rd qtr are due to the portion of the industry recovering from the 1996 slump attributed to inventory adjustments by customers.

Forecasts and trends, Market Trend/Market Analysis

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Foreign share of Japan's chip market, key to trade pact, revised downward

Article Abstract:

According to the figures scheduled to be released Dec 20, 1996, the foreign share of Japan's semiconductor market during the 1st qtr of 1996 is 26%, rather than the reported 30.6%. The 15% higher figure is cited as a major consideration in the trade pact devised between the US and Japan in Jul 1996. Japan has used the 30.6% figure as leverage in semiconductor trade discussions in which the US insisted on a new pact, but allowed for concessions regarding the monitoring of market-share information by industry groups as opposed to the government. While Japan argues that the mistake is due to faulty tariff information, the US finds it difficult to dismiss the matter as an innocent mistake. The disagreement illustrates the fundamental distrust between the US and Japan regarding trade within the semiconductor market.

Japan, Government trade agreement and tariff regulation, International trade, International competition (Economics), Japanese Competition

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Intel likely to keep pace despite expected FTC action

Article Abstract:

Intel Corp. is not likely to be hindered by the expected Federal Trade Commission (FTC) investigation. The FTC is expected to reccomend soon that suit be brought against Intel to force it to share technical information about its Pentium microprocessors with its competitors. Many analysts say that Intel's patent dispute will not affect the company's success because it is incidental to the company's attainment of almost a 90% market share.

Comment:

Is not likely to be hindered by the expected Federal Trade Commission (FTC) investigatio

United States, Government regulation (cont), Legal/Government Regulation, Intel Corp., Article

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