Abstracts » Business

Europe, sweet spot

Article Abstract:

Goldman Sachs forecasts benefits to Europe from a rise in the value of the US dollar. This should help exporters and companies with businesses in the US. Bond yields are supported by a consensus that European monetary union is likely to be achieved. The Italian lira looks likely to rise following the Olive Tree Alliance victory in elections, and this should help Italian stocks. A rally in Europe could end in 1997 with rising bond yields due to an increase in economic activity world wide.

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The party's over

Article Abstract:

Equity markets in mainland Europe have seen a 7% rise in the three months to June 1996. This rise may not continue in most mainland European countries save Italy, and inflation could become more apparent though this may be gradual. Share prices are only likely to rise if an increase in earnings and dividends means that they are decoupled from bond prices. A rise in earnings may already have been taken into account and a decoupling does not seem probable.

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Looking for a miracle

Article Abstract:

The performance of European equities is examined in detail, with forecasts for future trends in the European economy and stock markets.

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