Can Forecasters Forecast Successfully? Evidence from UK Betting Markets
Article Abstract:
Although efficiency of UK professional racetrack forecasters showed pre-tax profit, it required high stakes to cover cost of accessing information. Thus, at conventional levels of acceptance, statistical tests of signficance could not be confirmed.
Publication Name: Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Mathematics
ISSN: 0277-6693
Year: 2000
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Forecast performance of nonlinear error-correction models with multiple regimes
Article Abstract:
The forecasting efficiency of parametric models that allows for nonlinear errors correction and changes in regimes, are examined.
Publication Name: Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Mathematics
ISSN: 0277-6693
Year: 2005
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Forecasting outcomes in spread betting markets: can bettors use 'quarbs' to beat the book?
Article Abstract:
The efficacy of spread betting techniques for forecasting and improving the returns from gambling is examined.
Publication Name: Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Mathematics
ISSN: 0277-6693
Year: 2005
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