Can Forecasters Forecast Successfully? Evidence from UK Betting Markets

Article Abstract:

Although efficiency of UK professional racetrack forecasters showed pre-tax profit, it required high stakes to cover cost of accessing information. Thus, at conventional levels of acceptance, statistical tests of signficance could not be confirmed.

Forecasting, Statistical Data Included, Business forecasting, Racetracks (Horse racing), Racetracks (Horse-racing), Activity-based costing

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Forecast performance of nonlinear error-correction models with multiple regimes

Article Abstract:

The forecasting efficiency of parametric models that allows for nonlinear errors correction and changes in regimes, are examined.

Management dynamics, Analysis, Management, Usage, Mathematical models, Economic forecasting, Company business management, Nonlinear functional analysis, Errors, Errors (Mistakes)

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Forecasting outcomes in spread betting markets: can bettors use 'quarbs' to beat the book?

Article Abstract:

The efficacy of spread betting techniques for forecasting and improving the returns from gambling is examined.

Forecasts, trends, outlooks, Methods, Economic aspects, Market trend/market analysis, Gambling systems

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