International Journal of Forecasting 2001 - Abstracts

International Journal of Forecasting 2001
TitleSubjectAuthors
A framework for measuring international business cycles.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsBanerji, Anirvan, Hiris, Lorene
A growth cycle characterisation and forecasting of the Spanish economy: 1970-1998.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsGarcia-Ferrer, Antonio, Queralt, Ricardo, Blazquez, Cristina
A new composite index of coincident economic indicators in Japan: how can we improve forecast performances?(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsFukuda, Shin-ichi, Onodera, Takashi
A trading strategy based on the lead-lag relationship between the spot index and futures contract for the FTSE 100.(Financial Times Stock Exchange (U.K. stock index))(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsBrooks, Chris, Rew, Alistair G., Ritson, Stuart
Automatic identification of time series features for rule-based forecasting.(forecast accuracy level maintained with reduced cost)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsArmstrong, J. Scott, Adya, Monica, Collopy, Fred, Kennedy, Miles
Bayesian prediction with cointegrated vector autoregressions.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsVillani, Mattias
Benchmarks and the accuracy of GARCH model estimation.(generalised autoregressive conditionally heterosedastic model)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsBrooks, Chris, Persand, Gita, Burke, Simon P.
Beyond forecasting competitions.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsFildes, Robert A.
Book Review: Irrational Exuberance by Robert Shiller.(Review)EconomicsReviewer - Stekler, H. O.
Book Review: Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting. Modern Econometric Approaches by Haiyan Song and Stephen F. Witt.(tourism demand modelling and forecasting from an econometrics point of view)EconomicsReviewed by: Pedregal, Diego J.
Bootstrapping prediction intervals for autoregressive models.(methods of improving the coverage of Box-Jenkins prediction intervals)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsTaylor, Nick, Clements, Michael P.
Business cycle measurement in the presence of structural change: international evidence.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsKrolzig, Hans-Martin
Commentaries on the M3-competition; an introduction, some comments and a scorecard.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsOrd, Keith
Comments on the M3 forecast evaluation and a comparison with a study by Stock and Watson.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsGranger Clive W.J.
Commercial software in the M3-Competition.EconomicsGoodrich, Robert L.
Comparison of regime switching, probit and logit models in dating and forecasting US business cycles.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsLayton, Allan P., Katsuura, Masaki
Cyclical aspects of business cycle turning points.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsSarlan, Haldun
Effects of parameter estimation on prediction densities: a bootstrap approach.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsPascual, Lorenzo, Romo, Juan, Ruiz, Esther
Explaining the results of the M3 forecasting competition.EconomicsHendry, David F., Clements, Michael P.
Forecasting Australia's economic performance during the Asian crisis.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsSummers, Peter M.
Forecasting market shares from models for sales.(unbiased forecasts for market shares)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsFranses, Philip Hans, Fok, Denis
Forecasting models and prediction intervals for multiplicative Holt-Winters method.(model selection by simulation)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsOrd, J. Keith, Koehler, Anne B., Snyder, Ralph D.
From exploration to confirmation: movement through the M-competitions.EconomicsCollopy, Fred
Further results on focus forecasting vs. exponential smoothing.(Exponential smoothing found to be more accurate than demand solutions)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsGardner Jr., Everrete S., Anderson-Fletcher, Elizabeth A., Wicks, Angela M.
George Box: An interview with the International Journal of Forecasting.(Interview)EconomicsPena, Daniel
How accurate are private sector forecasts? Cross-country evidence from consensus forecasts of output growth.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsLoungani, Prakash
Investigating the JPY/DEM-rate: arbitrage opportunities and a case for asymmetry.(asymmetric time series models use yielded superior results)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsHerwartz, Helmut
Is 'bigger' necessarily 'better'?EconomicsChatfield, Chris
It's time to move from 'what' to 'why.'EconomicsHyndman, Rob
Long lead-time forecasting of UK air passengers by Holt-Winters methods with damped trend.(10-year lead time data used in estimate with modification)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsGrubb, Howard, Mason, Alexina
Macroeconomic forecasts correlaand the nature of economic shocks in Germany.(correlations being weak, forecasters' expectations found not rational)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsDopke, Jorg
Measuring and forecasting asymmetries in employment cycles with US labor market applications.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsPfann, Gerard A.
Neural network forecasting of Canadian GDP growth.(gross domestic product)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsTkacz, Greg
Nonlinearities, cyclical behaviour and predictability in stock markets: international evidence.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsSarantis, Nicholas
On forecasting cointegrated seasonal time series.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsFranses, Philip Hans, Lof, Marten
Predicting US recessions with leading indicators via neural network models.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsQi, Min
Regional multi-family housing start forecast accuracy.(compared to those for single-family residential construction)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsFullerton, Thomas M., Jr., Laaksonen, Mkka M.West, Carol T.
Response to the commentaries on 'The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications.'EconomicsMakridakis, Spyros, Hibon, Michele
Setting accuracy targets for short-term judgemental sales forecasting.(foecast accuracy within irreducible uncertainty measurements)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsBunn, Derek W., Taylor, James W.
Should we redesign forecasting competitions?(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsArmstrong, J. Scott
Simple versus complex methods.EconomicsClemen, Robert T.
Structural breaks, ARIMA model and Finnish inflation forecasts.(Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsJunttila, Juha
The asymmetry of judgemental confidence intervals in time series forecasting.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsO'Connor, Marcus, Remus, William, Griggs, Kenneth
The asymmetry of the sAPE measure and other comments on the M3-Competition.(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsKoehler, Anne B.
The forecasting accuracy and determinants of football rankings.(determinants found to be rational)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsLebovic, James H., Sigelman, Lee
The M3-Competition and forecasting software.EconomicsTashman, Len
The M3-Competition: the need for formal statistical tests.EconomicsStekler, Herman
The trading profitability of forecasts of the gilt-equity yield ratio.(usage of the gilt-equity yield ratio predicting UK stock returns is extended)(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsBrooks, Chris, Persand, Gita
The value of nonlinear models in the M3-Competition.EconomicsBalkin, Sandy D.
What determines inflation in the US, job growth or unemployment?(Statistical Data Included)EconomicsGuha, Debashis, Visviki, Dimitra
Why another study?EconomicsLawrence, Michael
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