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The temporal relationship between derivatives trading and spot market volatility in the U.K.: empirical analysis and Monte Carlo evidence

Article Abstract:

The dynamic relationship between spot market volatility and futures and options trading is studied in the context of a trivariate simultaneous equations model. Empirical analysis provides evidence that spot market volatility is time-varying. Monte Carlo evidence suggests that failure to account for simultaneity significantly reduces the power and accuracy of Granger causality tests. However, omission of a relevant variable within the model tends to create overall bias towards causality tests leading to the rejection of the null of noncausality due to its generation of misleading results.

Author: Sarno, Lucio, Kyriacou, Kyriacos
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Publication Name: Journal of Futures Markets
Subject: Business, general
ISSN: 0270-7314
Year: 1999
Securities Exchanges, Exchanges, Derivatives (Financial instruments)

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A note: the CSCE cheddar cheese cash and futures price long-term equilibrium relationship revisited

Article Abstract:

Fortenbery and Zapata's (1996) examination of the cheese and cash-futures relationship was extended by using a much longer time period over which such a relationship could develop. The findings indicate that the cheddar cheese market has a cointegrating association among the futures and spot markets, suggesting an information flow between the two. The results also imply that there are no institutional factors that would hinder efficient pricing in either market.

Author: Thraen, Cameron S.
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Publication Name: Journal of Futures Markets
Subject: Business, general
ISSN: 0270-7314
Year: 1999
Cheese, natural and processed, Cheese Manufacturing, Cheddar Cheese

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A test of the cost-of-carry relationship using the London Metal Exchange lead contract

Article Abstract:

Data on commodity prices from the London Metals Exchange was used to examine the connection between factors of the cost-of-carry relationship, spot price, futures price, interest rate to maturity, and stock level effects. Results for the commodity of lead support unit root processes for interest rates and stock levels. However, results for spot price and futures price are unconfirmed.

Author: Heany, Richard
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Publication Name: Journal of Futures Markets
Subject: Business, general
ISSN: 0270-7314
Year: 1998
Finance, Commodity exchanges, Futures, London Metal Exchange Ltd.

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Subjects list: Research, Futures market, Futures markets, Spot market, Prices and rates
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