A cooler tone

Article Abstract:

UK share prices rose between Mar and Aug 1995, fueled by takeover specualtion. A drop in interest rates by the german central bank in late Aug 1995 should remove pressure for a rise in UK interest rates and so benefit UK share prices. Investors are less confident in Sep 1995, and there are arguments in favor of consolidation following the share prices rises earlier in the year. There is also concern of the impact of a slowdown in growth on corporate earnings. Institutional liquidity is still high, however.

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UK: going up

Article Abstract:

UK share prices should be boosted by high liquidity levels of institutional investors. Kleinwort Benson, sees a possible rise in the FT-SE 100 index to 4200 by the end of 1996. Political risks may be taken into account in share prices, and the Labor party may present less of a risk than thought since there may be more chance of the UK entering European monetary union if Labor wins an election. US profits have risen, so there is less chance of US share prices falling and dragging down UK shares.

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Feeble Footsie sulks in Wall Street's shadow

Article Abstract:

The UK stock market did not perform as well as the US market in 1995. The FT-SE 100 rose by 21% in 1995, while the S and P index was up by 35% in that year. US bonds have performed better than UK government securities. The UK market is not likely to see a rise if the US market drops, but could catch up if it falls more slowly than the US market, or rises faster. Both countries face uncertainty over earnings, and some analysts forecast an improvement in 1996.

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