Forecast accuracy and product differentiation of Japanese institutional forecasters

Article Abstract:

A study examining the consistency in accuracy of some institutional forecasters using real GDP forecast data is presented. The study is based on data over the past 24 years from 53 Japanese institutional forecasters.

Japan, Forecasts, trends, outlooks, Services information, Financial Corporations, Services, Market trend/market analysis, Financial institutions

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The M3-Competition: the need for formal statistical tests

Article Abstract:

The author suggests that the results of the M3 study should be evaluated using a ranking of success of each of 24 forecasting measures using a test based on average rankings, with analysis of variance.

Forecasting, Business forecasting

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How accurate are private sector forecasts? Cross-country evidence from consensus forecasts of output growth

Article Abstract:

The accuracy of private sector forecasts is evaluated based upon concensus forecasts for 1989-99 for industrialized and developing nations.

Economics, Research and Development in the Social Sciences and Humanities, Statistical Data Included, Private sector

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