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Computer hangover

Article Abstract:

Computer experts believe that many organizations are still too complacent about year 2000 transition problems. They believe that 20-50% of computer systems will not be year 2000 compliant by the millennium, due to the extent of the workload or to the system being overlooked. Experts estimate that the global cost of fixing the year 2000 problem will be $600 billion, and they anticipate a range of problems due to non-compliant systems. Californian state agencies face year 2000 transition costs of $230 million, with one of the main problem areas being the Department of Motor Vehicles.

Author: Wells, Ken
Publisher: Information for Public Affairs Inc.
Publication Name: California Journal
Subject: Government
ISSN: 0008-1205
Year: 1997
Year 2000 transition (Computers), California

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The conjunction effect: fallacy or Bayesian inference?

Article Abstract:

Research evidence rejects the notion that the conjunction fallacy is due to individuals providing reverse probability estimates rather than normal estimates. Such an assumption is fallacious due to experimental findings which reveal that people disregard base rates when making judgments. It is also nonsensical to assume that people continually focus on probabilities of one kind rather than another especially if a particular problem favors a latter interpretation.

Author: Fisk, John E.
Publisher: Elsevier B.V.
Publication Name: Organizational Behavior & Human Decision Processes
Subject: Psychology and mental health
ISSN: 0749-5978
Year: 1996
Psychological aspects, Evaluation, Bayesian statistical decision theory, Bayesian analysis, Logic

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Caretaker in the clouds

Article Abstract:

Carlos Kenison works on the Richmond-San Rafael Bridge in California, and during his work has a view of much of the San Francisco Bay Area. Kenison was injured in a 38-foot fall while a house painter and since has made it a practice to be careful and to stay in shape.

Publisher: American Association of Retired Persons
Publication Name: Modern Maturity
Subject: Personal finance
ISSN: 0026-8046
Year: 1993
Officials and employees, Behavior, California. Department of Transportation, Kenison, Carlos

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