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The party's not over, but it's tiring

Article Abstract:

The 1994-98 bull market in the United States may be ready to top out. There are three factors to be considered. The first are rising bond prices and the threat of falling interest rates. A cycle of three years up, and one year down, a pattern in the stockmarket is beginning to run out even considering a long bull run. Third, a pattern by the Dow Jones Industrial Average similar to a broadening top that appears in the final stage of a bull market.

Author: Armstrong, Merrill
Publisher: B R W Media
Publication Name: Personal Investment
Subject: Personal finance
ISSN: 0813-2992
Year: 1998
Stock-exchange, Stock exchanges, United States economic conditions

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Pinpointing the moments of change

Article Abstract:

There are several tools investors can use to help gauge the bear and bull cycles of the market. The advance-decline (A-D) line is one that pinpoints the action in the overall market. Indexes also rise even when most of the stock in that index are falling because they are weighted toward the leaders. When the A-D line is falling and the index is rising, it indicates the advance in not broadly based.

Author: Armstrong, Merrill
Publisher: B R W Media
Publication Name: Personal Investment
Subject: Personal finance
ISSN: 0813-2992
Year: 1997
Analysis, Index numbers (Economics)

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Don't rely just on the fair-weather Dow

Article Abstract:

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has reflected a few shifts in the economy, but on the whole has maintained a bullish approach since 1994. If the Coppock long-term indicator falls below or near the zero mark it signals a drop or selling point. Six turns occured since 1974 and 1995. Another is expected in 1998 and early 1999.

Author: Armstrong, Merrill
Publisher: B R W Media
Publication Name: Personal Investment
Subject: Personal finance
ISSN: 0813-2992
Year: 1997
Statistics

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Subjects list: Forecasts and trends, Dow Jones Industrial Average (Index), Economic indicators
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