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Political science

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'Pander complex' gets the tea leaves wrong

Article Abstract:

The record of China experts in predicting Chinese events and policies has been woeful since the country's communist takeover in 1949. Their analyses of Hong Kong's impending reunification with China and the dawning of the post-Deng Xiaoping era, for example, are too optimistic. China experts err so often because they tend to believe what Beijing tells them, they are too dependent on Chinese bureaucrats for information, they have specialized too narrowly and they are unable to see that China is special, but not unique. They must broaden their perspectives and sources if they hope to improve their forecasts.

Author: Segal, Gerald
Publisher: Royal Institute of International Affairs
Publication Name: The World Today
Subject: Political science
ISSN: 0043-9134
Year: 1997
Evaluation, International aspects, Hong Kong, Chinese foreign relations, Hong Kong foreign relations, Hong Kong-China reunification question, International relations specialists

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Opening and dividing China

Article Abstract:

China's economic reforms and increased openness to other countries may lead to its fragmentation, and one form this could take is a de facto federalism. This federalism would be influenced by several factors, including regional differences emphasized by the accelerated economic reform China has pursued since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Due to differing economic conditions in different parts of the country, it is appropriate to speak of several Chinas with possibly different foreign policies. China's relationship with the US and Japan and its position on Korean reunification are also important.

Author: Segal, Gerald
Publisher: Royal Institute of International Affairs
Publication Name: The World Today
Subject: Political science
ISSN: 0043-9134
Year: 1992

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Britain and America: towards strategic coincidence

Article Abstract:

The United Kingdom and the United States share certain geographic and social factors, giving them commonalities which will ensure a continuing close relationship in the post-Cold-War era. Both countries share language, geographic integrity, and a belief system founded on the importance of liberty, civil rights and the rule of law. Although both countries seem inclined towards increasing insularity due to economic problems, there will continue to be areas where shared strategic interests lead them to act in concert, as was the case in the Persian Gulf.

Author: Seitz, Raymond G.H.
Publisher: Royal Institute of International Affairs
Publication Name: The World Today
Subject: Political science
ISSN: 0043-9134
Year: 1993
United Kingdom, United States, United States foreign relations, British foreign relations

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Subjects list: China, Analysis, Political aspects, International relations
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