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Zoology and wildlife conservation

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Abstracts » Zoology and wildlife conservation

Doubling of world population unlikely

Article Abstract:

Research suggests that there is a two-thirds probability that the global population will not double by the year 2100. Probable distribution of populations by age and size is simulated for 13 global areas. The probabilistic method takes into account expert knowledge of trends in migration, mortality and fertility, together with the 90% uncertaintly level for such trends in other areas of the world. A probabilistic interpretation is not usually given to conventional population forecasts.

Author: Lutz, Wolfgang, Sanderson, Warren, Scherbov, Sergei
Publisher: Macmillan Publishing Ltd.
Publication Name: Nature
Subject: Zoology and wildlife conservation
ISSN: 0028-0836
Year: 1997
Models, Usage, Letter to the Editor, Uncertainty (Information theory)

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The end of world population growth

Article Abstract:

Research describing world population trends and forecasts is presented. In particular it is postulated that the world's population will stop increasing before the end of the 21st century.

Author: Lutz, Wolfgang, Sanderson, Warren, Scherbov, Sergei
Publisher: Macmillan Publishing Ltd.
Publication Name: Nature
Subject: Zoology and wildlife conservation
ISSN: 0028-0836
Year: 2001

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The coming acceleration of global population ageing

Article Abstract:

The article discusses several conventional and new approaches that are employed to measure the speed of global population ageing, which is expected to highly increase in the future.

Author: Lutz, Wolfgang, Sanderson, Warren, Scherbov, Sergei
Publisher: Macmillan Publishing Ltd.
Publication Name: Nature
Subject: Zoology and wildlife conservation
ISSN: 0028-0836
Year: 2008
Forecasts, trends, outlooks, Science & research, Aging, Forecasts and trends, Market trend/market analysis, Fertility, Life expectancy, Aging (Biology)

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Subjects list: Population forecasting, Research
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