Gather round: the 15th Party Congress will be President Jiang's first political challenge since Deng Xiaoping's death. Consolidation of power will be the key issue

Article Abstract:

The seminal 15th Communist Party Congress in September or October will be an important party conclave, giving Party chief Jiang Zemin a chance to consolidate his position. It is likely he will succeed as party leaders are in general agreement on most of the major issues. However some believe he has little to offer but modest state-enterprise reform. Jiang has already signalled that party leftists will fail to stymie economic reforms, and this bodes well for plans to sell shares in state enterprises. Leftism as an ideology still continues, but the counter-leftist groups are growing stronger.

Politics NEC, Political aspects, Politics

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Man in the middle: President Jiang Zemin's handling of the Taiwan crisis could determine China's direction - and his own political fate. But the army's power limits his room for manoeuvre

Article Abstract:

The current crisis over Taiwan and its impending presidential election is the first major test for Chinese President Jiang Zemin, one that could shunt him aside if he blunders. He has stronger relations with the military than any other top leaders, but not enough influence to sway the generals regarding Taiwan. Increasingly his posture there seems like appeasement, and he has been forced to concede other issues to them in the past. Another long-term problem is his lack of original and timely ideas as a leader.

Taiwan, Cover Story, Chinese foreign relations, Chinese (Taiwan) foreign relations, Military policy

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