Jeremiah meets Ian Fleming

Article Abstract:

Stockmarket bubbles have two phases, the immediate aftermath, and the longer term. Stock prices may fall for only a short period, or over a period of years. The South Sea Bubble involved fraud and other activities that regulators have since sought to suppress. The price fall lasted some six weeks. The Wall Street Crash could be measured from 1927, when the bubble began to inflate, to Sep 1929, when the market peaked. There was a sharp fall over two months, and stock prices continued to fall for three years.

History, Bear market, Speculation

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A faint hint of tea leaves

Article Abstract:

Charting has tended not to receive a good press on MBA courses, and there is no investor who has had consistent success using charting techniques, yetcharting has its appeal. Charts can be interpreted in different ways, and the same chart may be seen as showing a buy signal by one technical analyst, and a sell signal by another. Charts do not know about contracts and the abilities of new chief executives. Yet some of the points made by those who specialise in charting may be valid, such as the view that it is risky to buy stocks that are falling sharply, or which have stagnated for long periods.

Graphic methods

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Bomb-proof shares

Article Abstract:

There has been speculation that stock prices could undergo a major correction, and this feeling persists, though prices have yet to drop in a way forecast for some time. There is concern at the level that the Dow Jones Industrial Average has reached, and a US stock price fall would affect markets elsewhere. The losses suffered by investors in 1929 were not recovered for 30 years. Moving to cash could mean losing benefits of stock price rises, and the timing of a downturn cannot be predicted. Stocks likely to drop less and recover faster include Manchester United, Flextech, Serco, RM and Sage.

Economic aspects, Cover Story

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