Rivalries and the democratic peace in the major power system

Article Abstract:

This articles compares strategic rivalry dyads and democratic dyads in facilitating or constraining conflict through examining militarized disputes and wars between 1816-1992. The authors find both relationships to be influential in predicting conflict, with rivalry information's position as a more powerful predictor eroding over time; the conclusion asserts that domestic institutions operate within external environments which influence their foreign policy, so information on both internal and external environments are necessary when explaining conflict.

World, Analysis, International aspects, Influence, Political aspects, Democracy, Opposition (Political science), Peace, Conflict management, Great powers

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World economic growth systemic leadership, and Southern debt crises

Article Abstract:

It was demonstrated that southern debt problems were linked systemically to fluctuations in world economic growth, systemic leadership, and northern conflict. The statistical model that drived the result was found to be robust in a number of sensitivity analyses. It was concluded that southern debt problems were yet another systemic manifestation of discontinuous economic growth across time and space.

Forecasts, trends, outlooks, Administration of General Economic Programs, Intnl Economic Policy, Intnl Economic Relations, Forecasts and trends, Economic conditions, Market trend/market analysis, International economic relations, Global economy

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War, trade, and the mediation of systemic leadership

Article Abstract:

Processes of war, trade and systemic leadership are often examined in isolation from another. A vector autoregression analysis of the three processes provides substantial empirical support for the argument that leadership leads to more trade and less war, while also promoting increasingly more pacific relations among elite states in the world system.

United States, International trade, Leadership, Military art and science, Military science

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