Can Hong Kong avoid a future of decline?: as it nears the transfer of its governance to China, Hong Kong is hampered by the consequence of historical short-sightedness

Article Abstract:

Some Hong Kong territory academics believe that Hong Kong can reposition itself after the handover to China, to embrace high technology and form a niche for itself. It is likely that new tax incentives will encourage traditional and small high technology companies, and government funds will boost university research and development (R&D). However there are concerns that only three universities have major research capacity and about the territory's education system and the lack inclination to question received ideas by young Chinese leaving high school, limiting the potential for flourishing science.

Science and technology policy, Hong Kong

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Failure and how to avoid it

Article Abstract:

The theme 'Archaeology is a matter of life and death' has addressed the question of what makes societies more likely to collapse or to achieve long-term sustainability. Several factors seem to have determined whether societies failed, collapsed, or experienced either episodic change or 'radical continuity', and other factors include rates of demographic change, the degree to which elites are isolated from social problems, the strength of communication across hierarchies, levels of investment in infrastructure.

Evaluation, Cultural property, Protection of, Cultural property protection, Civilization, Ancient, Ancient civilization

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Learning to commit or avoid the base-rate error

Article Abstract:

The base-rate error is a learned phenomenon and can be eliminated from problem design. The base-rate error occurs in problem solving experiments when people ignore overall frequencies of occurrence in favor of case-specific evidence or arbitrary information. Introducing new arbitratry information or reintroducing something previously learned reintroduces the error in subsequent testing.

Psychological aspects, Problem solving, Fallacies (Logic)

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